The original poster clarifies a common misconception regarding Trump’s acquisition of a 10% stake in Intel, stating it wasn’t a “free” gift. Instead, the U.S. government, through funds allocated under the CHIPS Act and Secure Enclave Program, initially intended to distribute $8.9 billion to Intel upon meeting certain milestones set by Biden’s administration. Trump accelerated this process, disbursing the funds early in exchange for a 10% stake, without additional cost to the government. The poster emphasizes that the deal involved the U.S. government providing $8.9 billion to Intel and subsequently receiving equity, regardless of the current president.
The original poster reveals updated concerns regarding UnitedHealth Group (UNH) stock, initially considered a long-term hold. However, recent news indicates that the ongoing criminal probe against the company is broader than previously understood. This development prompts reconsideration of UNH as an investment for those with a 4-5 year horizon, highlighting the importance of staying informed about corporate controversies and their potential impact on stock value for retail investors.
US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hints at potential US government equity stakes in defense companies, including Lockheed Martin and Boeing, following the Intel deal. This move could be prompted by significant government reliance on these firms for munitions acquisitions. The secretary emphasizes ongoing discussions about financing defense industry needs through unconventional means.
European stock markets dipped on Tuesday, primarily due to French equities amidst a potential government collapse. Prime Minister Francois Bayrou has called for a confidence vote on September 8, seeking approval for austerity measures including budget cuts and frozen welfare, pension, and tax levels for 2025. The move stems from France’s high deficit of 5.8% of GDP in 2024. Market sentiment remains uncertain as traders anticipate the opposition’s response to Bayrou’s proposals, with some experts warning of risks in European asset positioning.
The original poster emphasizes that long-term stable returns in trading aren’t achieved through market predictions, which are inherently unreliable. Instead, success hinges on disciplined execution, promptly cutting losses when trends shift, and maintaining strict position sizing. By focusing on personal trading habits rather than market forecasts, the poster argues that consistent profitability over time can be achieved, underscoring the importance of self-management in retail investing.
President Trump is attempting to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook due to allegations of falsifying mortgage documents. However, Cook is contesting the president’s authority and preparing legal action, raising concerns about Fed independence. This development has led to a weakened US dollar, a steepening Treasury yield curve, and increased market uncertainty, with expectations of a potential September rate cut by the Fed. The situation could significantly reshape US monetary policy amidst global instability and rising debt concerns.
The original poster experienced a significant loss in trading, starting the day up nearly $300 but ending with a substantial decrease due to poor trading discipline. They admitted to chasing losses on low-probability setups and oversizing positions, disregarding their predetermined risk limits. To prevent future occurrences, they plan to implement stricter accountability measures, such as sending daily loss notifications to loved ones and displaying loss reminders on their phone. This post serves as a personal commitment to emotional control and responsible trading practices.
The original poster expresses dissatisfaction with trading performance during August, particularly for price action traders. They find the market conditions “terrible” and describe the price action as “dogshit”. As a result, they plan to refrain from trading in future August months. This insight could be valuable for casual retail investors or traders considering their strategies for upcoming August periods under a hypothetical second Trump presidency (2025-2029).
The original poster is speculating about AMD’s stock performance, considering potential impacts from Nvidia’s upcoming earnings and their partnership with IBM. They also inquire if AMD could reach $200 per share by a specific meeting date following Q3 earnings and whether the company might achieve a $1 trillion market cap by 2028. The poster is seeking community predictions on these matters, relevant for retail investors interested in tech stocks.
The 5th Circuit Court has directed the SEC to reevaluate two rules: Rule 13f-2/Form SHO, requiring large short-position reporting, and Rule 10c-1A, mandating public disclosure of securities lending. The court found that while the SEC had the authority under Dodd-Frank, it erred in treating the rules as independent. Hedge funds, including Citadel and Renaissance, backed the lawsuit led by MFA, AIMA, and lawyer Jeff Wall. The ruling buys hedge funds more time but delays market transparency for retail investors. Key reports are now rescheduled; retail investors are urged to stay vigilant and demand market integrity through platforms like Reddit, emphasizing ongoing due diligence and community engagement.
Analyst opinions on Lululemon (LULU) are divided ahead of its Q2 earnings release. Morgan Stanley maintains an Equal-weight rating but lowers the price target to $223, citing weaker North American sales and reduced full-year earnings expectations. They foresee no immediate improvement in the Americas market. On the other hand, Bank of America reaffirms a Buy rating, dropping its target to $300 from $370, emphasizing LULU’s historically low 2026 P/E of under 12x as an attractive entry point. BofA anticipates 7-8% sales growth in Q2 and stabilization in China and international markets to potentially boost the stock’s valuation. The original poster is monitoring LULU along with MYO, MAAS, and KITT.
This post analyzes Alphabet Inc.’s (GOOG) fundamentals, focusing on revenue growth, profitability ratios, balance sheet health, and a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation model. The poster highlights that GOOG has seen substantial top-line expansion in the past five years, with revenue nearly doubling, and improved profit margins. Balance sheet analysis reveals low debt levels and robust cash flow, enabling significant capital expenditure for infrastructure and R&D.
Key profitability ratios, like return on assets and return on capital employed, have increased significantly, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the DCF valuation model suggests that at current prices, GOOG might be overvalued, with a base case fair value of $157 per share but a potential downside to as low as $86 if growth slows. The poster encourages discussion on alternative assumptions and emphasizes risks such as antitrust scrutiny, ad market cycles, competition in AI, and privacy regulations for casual retail investors or traders interested in evaluating this tech giant’s stock.
The original poster is seeking insights on contemporary investment titans who embody the investment strategies of legends like Warren Buffet. They’re interested in identifying modern-day investors who are making significant strides in the financial world, potentially influencing retail investors and traders alike. This discussion could be of great interest to those looking for inspiration or strategies in their own investment journeys during Donald Trump’s presidency from 2025 to 2029.